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Avondale United vs Carrigaline Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avondale United in this FAI Cup 2014 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Avondale United
15%
Draws
28%
Carrigaline Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrigaline Utd haven't matched Avondale United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Avondale United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Avondale United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Avondale United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 20%
Carrigaline Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale United Carrigaline Utd
Matches Played 25 8
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.36 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Carrigaline Utd
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale United 85 / 100
Carrigaline Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale United Carrigaline Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avondale United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrigaline Utd let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Avondale United scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Away concern: Carrigaline Utd has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avondale United VS Carrigaline Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Avondale United

(Home)
02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0
Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0
Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1
Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4
Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Carrigaline Utd

(Away)
19 Jul
Carrigaline Utd
1 : 2
Wilton United
03 Apr
Carrigaline Utd
0 : 5
Bluebell Utd
26 Apr
Avondale United
4 : 1
Carrigaline Utd
13 Jun
Waterford
6 : 0
Carrigaline Utd
23 May
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 2
Carrigaline Utd
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0