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Avondale United vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Funston M.
77' Event
Long D.

AI Match Summary

The FAI Cup 2014 game between Avondale United and Finn Harps finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Avondale United
44%
Draws
20%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avondale United come out ahead of Finn Harps on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 25%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avondale United Finn Harps
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2014 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Avondale United
4:1
Sep 14, 2014 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Finn Harps
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avondale United Compare

Top Goalscorer Long D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Funston M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avondale United 37 / 100
Finn Harps 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avondale United Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Avondale United scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Finn Harps
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks-
TBD-
Leixlip United1
St. Patricks CY2
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
Cork City-
TBD-
TBD-
St Mochta's-
Limerick-
TBD-
TBD-
Bohemians-
Avondale United4
Carrigaline Utd1
TBD-
Collinstown-
University College Cork2
Swilly Rovers1
St Francis1
St. Michaels2
Wexford-
TBD-
TBD-
Bray-
Belgrove1
Drumcondra FC0
TBD-
Finn Harps-
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff YC-
Athlone-
TBD-
TBD-
Longford-
Galway United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Sligo Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundalk-
Drogheda-
TBD-
TBD-
Cockhill-
Phoenix3
Bluebell Utd2
TBD-
Ballynanty Rovers-
Malahide United2
Tolka1
TBD-
Mayfield Utd-
Cobh Ramblers-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
1/16-finals
St. Patricks3
St. Patricks CY0
Waterford0
Shelbourne1
Cork City6
St Mochta's0
Limerick1
Bohemians2
Avondale United2
Collinstown0
University College Cork2
St. Michaels4
Wexford1
Bray0
Belgrove0
Finn Harps1
Shamrock Rovers4
Sheriff YC0
Athlone0
Longford2
Galway United3
UC Dublin1
Sligo Rovers0
Dundalk3
Drogheda4
Cockhill2
Phoenix1
Ballynanty Rovers2
Malahide United3
Mayfield Utd1
Cobh Ramblers0
Derry City2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks2
Shelbourne1
Cork City2
Bohemians3
Avondale United2
St. Michaels0
Wexford1
Finn Harps2
Shamrock Rovers3
Longford0
Galway United1
Dundalk2
Drogheda4
Ballynanty Rovers0
Malahide United0
Derry City3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks3
Bohemians2
Avondale United2
Finn Harps5
Shamrock Rovers2
Dundalk1
Drogheda2
Derry City7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks6
Finn Harps1
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City3
Final
St. Patricks2
Derry City0