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Avranches vs Cherbourg

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CFA - Group D 2013/2014
Avranches Logo

Avranches

3 - 0
FT
Cherbourg Logo

Cherbourg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2013/2014 game between Avranches and Cherbourg finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Avranches
20%
Draws
42%
Cherbourg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avranches come out ahead of Cherbourg on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Avranches taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
Cherbourg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Cherbourg
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Cherbourg
3:0
Dec 14, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Avranches
0:0
Feb 19, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Cherbourg
1:1
Aug 28, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Cherbourg vs Avranches
4:2
Mar 27, 2010 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Cherbourg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 76 / 100
Cherbourg 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Cherbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Avranches scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Cherbourg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Avranches has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

Cherbourg

(Away)
18 Nov
Grand Quevilly
4 : 1
Cherbourg
24 May
Saint-Malo
1 : 2
Cherbourg
17 May
Cherbourg
2 : 0
Nantes II
10 May
Romorantin
0 : 1
Cherbourg
03 May
Cherbourg
0 : 1
Stade Bordelais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avranches 30 19 6 5 56:22 93
2 Saint-Malo 30 17 5 8 45:29 86
3 Les Herbiers 30 13 11 6 46:26 80
4 Nantes II 30 13 8 9 31:23 77
5 Trelissac 30 12 8 10 29:26 74
6 Vitre 30 11 9 10 36:39 72
7 Concarneau 30 10 11 9 33:34 71
8 Stade Bordelais 30 11 7 12 29:36 70
9 Bordeaux II 30 9 12 9 33:25 69
10 Pontivy 30 9 9 12 36:39 66
11 Viry-Chatillon 30 7 14 9 27:34 65
12 Romorantin 30 8 10 12 33:36 64
13 Fontenay 30 8 9 13 36:48 63
14 Cherbourg 30 8 9 13 27:43 63
15 Plabennec 30 6 10 14 28:42 58
16 Jeunesse Villenavaise 30 6 8 16 28:51 54
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)