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Avranches vs Dinan

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Rene Fenouillere, Avranches
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Match Events

66' Event
Sam M.

AI Match Summary

Dinan in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Avranches
35%
Draws
45%
Dinan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Avranches and Dinan have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans Dinan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dinan have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Avranches Clean Sheet 13%
Dinan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Dinan
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Dinan
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Avranches
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Dinan
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Avranches
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 19 / 100
Dinan 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Dinan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Avranches found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Dinan has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Avranches went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Dinan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
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Dinan

(Away)
16 May
Dinan
3 : 1
Angouleme CFC
09 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 1
Dinan
02 May
Dinan
6 : 0
Saumur Olympique
25 Apr
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 1
Dinan
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)