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Avranches vs Le Mans II Prediction & H2H Stats

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CFA - Group D 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Avranches in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Avranches
30%
Draws
23%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Avranches at 1.56 per game, Le Mans II at 1.27.
  • Model gives Avranches a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Avranches here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Avranches Clean Sheet 20%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Le Mans II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Le Mans II
5:0
Nov 24, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Avranches
2:1
May 12, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Avranches
0:2
Jan 14, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Le Mans II
3:1
Apr 16, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Avranches vs Le Mans II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 85 / 100
Le Mans II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Le Mans II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Avranches remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Avranches

(Home)
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
Page 1 of 7

Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)