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Avranches vs Montlouis

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Rene Fenouillere
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bouhoutt W.
46' Event
Pi J.
49' Event
Lamrabette A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Avranches and Montlouis finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Avranches
11%
Draws
9%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Avranches come out ahead of Montlouis on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avranches a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avranches Montlouis
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Montlouis vs Avranches
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Montlouis
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Pi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamrabette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Montlouis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhoutt W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marie-Louise G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avranches 86 / 100
Montlouis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avranches Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Avranches scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Avranches remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avranches VS Montlouis
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325