Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Avro vs Ashton United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Avro host Ashton United in the NPL Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Avro have averaged 2 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Ashton United's 1.39 scored and 1.29 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Avro. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Avro
30%
Draws
28%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Avro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Avro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Avro Clean Sheet 12%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avro Ashton United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avro 40 / 100
Ashton United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avro Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Avro found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Avro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ashton United has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Avro VS Ashton United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Avro

(Home)
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1
Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
26 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Avro
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
Page 1 of 6

Ashton United

(Away)
13 Oct
Ashton United
0 : 0
Alfreton
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)