Sport Picks
Avro vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
13'
13'
Salt H.
23'
23'
Dickenson B.
53'
53'
Salt H.
AI Match Summary
Avro in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Workington haven't matched Avro's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Avro Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Avro | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Avro vs Workington
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Avro Compare
Top Goalscorer Salt H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lowe B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Dickenson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Avro 29 / 100
Workington 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Avro Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Avro scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Avro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Avro VS Workington
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Avro
(Home) 21 Oct
Avro
3 : 2 Ashton United
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0 Avro
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Avro
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1 Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Avro
3 : 2 Ashton United
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1 Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3 Lancaster
05 Sept
Avro
0 : 2 Witton Albion
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3 Stockton
Page 1 of 4
Workington
(Away) 17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2 Whitby
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | 28 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:33 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
