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Avro vs Workington

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Salt H.
23' Event
Dickenson B.
53' Event
Salt H.

AI Match Summary

Avro in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Avro
15%
Draws
7%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Workington haven't matched Avro's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Avro taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Avro Clean Sheet 20%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Avro Workington
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Avro vs Workington
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Avro Compare

Top Goalscorer Salt H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lowe B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickenson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Avro 85 / 100
Workington 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Avro Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Avro found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Workington let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Avro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Avro VS Workington
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Avro

(Home)
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1
Workington
15 Aug
Alfreton
3 : 0
Avro
11 Aug
Bamber Bridge
1 : 6
Avro
08 Aug
Avro
2 : 1
Quorn
18 Jul
Avro
4 : 3
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Workington

(Away)
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1
Workington
15 Aug
Workington
2 : 2
Guiseley
11 Aug
Workington
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0
Workington
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 Warrington Town 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Gainsborough 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Avro 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
5 Ashton United 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
6 Redcar Athletic 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Guiseley 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
8 Bury FC 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
9 AFC Emley 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Hyde 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
11 Alfreton 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
12 Warrington Rylands 4 2 0 2 4:2 6
13 Whitby 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
14 Ilkeston 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
15 Curzon Ashton 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
16 Bamber Bridge 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
17 Lancaster 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
18 Leek Town 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
19 Stockton 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
20 Workington 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
21 Quorn 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
22 United of Manchester 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)