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AWC vs HSV Hoek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Impens R.
52' Event
Diedhiou G.
56' Event
Impens R.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between AWC and HSV Hoek finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HSV Hoek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AWC
30%
Draws
58%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HSV Hoek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HSV Hoek come out ahead of AWC on wins alone.
  • HSV Hoek are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AWC Clean Sheet 12%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AWC HSV Hoek
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs HSV Hoek
0:4
Nov 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs AWC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AWC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Impens R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diedhiou G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AWC 19 / 100
HSV Hoek 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AWC HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

HSV Hoek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: AWC scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: AWC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS HSV Hoek
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AWC

(Home)
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2
ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3
Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2
Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1
AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4
Meerssen
Page 1 of 6

HSV Hoek

(Away)
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)