Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AWC vs TOGB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Favre M. l.
76'
Eijgenraam F.

AI Match Summary

TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
AWC
20%
Draws
64%
TOGB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOGB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TOGB lately — more wins on the board than AWC.
  • AWC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AWC Clean Sheet 14%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AWC TOGB
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
AWC vs TOGB
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs AWC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AWC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

TOGB Compare

Top Goalscorer Favre M. l.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AWC 35 / 100
TOGB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AWC TOGB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TOGB conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

TOGB lost 3 of their last 5 games.

AWC scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS TOGB
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AWC

(Home)
03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2
ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3
Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2
Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1
AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4
Meerssen
Page 1 of 6

TOGB

(Away)
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0
TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
TOGB
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)