Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agigea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 game between Axiopolis Cernavoda and Agigea finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Axiopolis Cernavoda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
15%
Draws
45%
Agigea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agigea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Axiopolis Cernavoda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Axiopolis Cernavoda have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 13%
Agigea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Axiopolis Cernavoda Agigea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Romanian Cup
Agigea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agigea
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Agigea
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Axiopolis Cernavoda 35 / 100
Agigea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Axiopolis Cernavoda Agigea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agigea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axiopolis Cernavoda found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Agigea conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Axiopolis Cernavoda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Axiopolis Cernavoda VS Agigea
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Home)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Page 1 of 6

Agigea

(Away)
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Agigea
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
23 Sept
Agigea
2 : 1
Unirea Branistea
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 22 15 3 4 51:27 48
2 Popesti Leordeni 22 13 6 3 47:17 45
3 Inainte Modelu 22 14 3 5 51:26 45
4 Calarasi 22 12 4 6 37:30 40
5 FCSB 2 22 12 3 7 52:33 39
6 Progresul Fundulea 22 10 1 11 38:30 31
7 Gloria Baneasa 22 9 2 11 44:47 29
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 22 9 0 13 33:44 27
9 Axiopolis Cernavoda 22 7 2 13 31:44 23
10 Agigea 22 7 2 13 26:52 23
11 Din. Bucuresti 2 22 6 1 15 32:52 19
12 Voluntari 2 22 3 3 16 26:66 12
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)