Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019

Pergolettese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Axys Zola play Pergolettese in the Serie D - Group D 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Axys Zola averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Pergolettese averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Axys Zola won 0, Pergolettese won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Axys Zola and 1.11 for Pergolettese. This points to a Axys Zola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Axys Zola

27%

Draws

35%

Pergolettese

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Axys Zola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Axys Zola picked up more points recently compared to Pergolettese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Axys Zola Clean Sheet 21%

Pergolettese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Axys Zola	Pergolettese
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.23	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D

Axys Zola vs Pergolettese

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D

Pergolettese vs Axys Zola

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Axys Zola 38 / 100

Pergolettese 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Axys Zola Pergolettese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Axys Zola or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Axys Zola attacking → ← attacking Pergolettese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axys Zola scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pergolettese let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Axys Zola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pergolettese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pergolettese	34	22	7	5	62:32	73
2	Modena	34	21	10	3	60:27	73
3	Reggiana	34	19	9	6	57:28	66
4	Fanfulla	34	16	9	9	58:52	57
5	Fiorenzuola	34	16	8	10	52:31	56
6	Crema	34	12	13	9	52:50	49
7	Adrense	34	12	11	11	45:45	47
8	Vigor Carpaneto	34	11	14	9	42:35	47
9	Axys Zola	34	11	8	15	40:45	41
10	Ciliverghe Mazzano	34	11	8	15	38:48	41
11	Lentigione	34	8	15	11	34:36	39
12	Desenzano Calvina	34	8	15	11	40:51	39
13	Pavia	34	9	9	16	32:46	36
14	Mezzolara	34	7	14	13	39:50	35
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	10	16	31:50	34
16	San Marino Calcio	34	5	16	13	24:32	31
17	USD Classe 1974	34	6	12	16	25:51	30
18	OltrepoVoghera	34	3	14	17	22:44	23