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Ayacucho vs Santos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Tuesta J.
33'
Melendez Q.
35'
Torres S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Ayacucho and Santos FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayacucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ayacucho
15%
Draws
46%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos FC come out ahead of Ayacucho on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 16%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Santos FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Santos FC
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
0:0
Jun 7, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Santos FC
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuesta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lojas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 36 / 100
Santos FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayacucho found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Santos FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Ayacucho has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS Santos FC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayacucho

(Home)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Santos FC

(Away)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)