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Ayacucho vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayacucho host Santos FC in the Liga 2. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Ayacucho have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Santos FC's 0.88 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Santos FC slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.69, favoring Santos FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ayacucho
39%
Draws
31%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos FC come out ahead of Ayacucho on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 20%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayacucho Santos FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
0:0
Jun 7, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Santos FC
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Ayacucho
0:0
Sep 20, 2023 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Santos FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayacucho 31 / 100
Santos FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayacucho Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Santos FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ayacucho's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ayacucho VS Santos FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayacucho

(Home)
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
14 Jun
Ayacucho
0 : 1
Los Chankas
01 Jun
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 0
Ayacucho
22 May
Ayacucho
0 : 0
Comerciantes FC
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Santos FC

(Away)
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
23 May
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Santos FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Pirata961216:919
3Union Comercio85218:217
4Carlos Mannucci952211:717
5U. San Martin822411:108
6ADA Jaen81525:68
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao91269:185
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Tacna Heroica943210:815
3Alianza Huanuco942312:914
4Santos FC942310:914
5Sport Huancayo 293338:912
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas91534:68
9Binacional91357:156
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)