Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayamonte vs CD Villanueva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayamonte in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ayamonte
30%
Draws
33%
CD Villanueva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Villanueva lately — more wins on the board than Ayamonte.
  • Model gives Ayamonte a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ayamonte here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 17%
CD Villanueva Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte CD Villanueva
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs CD Villanueva
1:0
Jan 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs CD Villanueva
1:0
Sep 2, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Villanueva vs Ayamonte
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 39 / 100
CD Villanueva 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte CD Villanueva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Villanueva conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Ayamonte's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Ayamonte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayamonte VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

CD Villanueva

(Away)
09 May
CD Villanueva
1 : 3
Sabinanigo
01 May
La Muela
2 : 1
CD Villanueva
25 Apr
CD Villanueva
1 : 1
Sarinena
23 Apr
Fraga
1 : 3
CD Villanueva
18 Apr
CD Villanueva
3 : 2
UD Barbastro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 37 22 8 7 64:38 74
2 Jerez Industrial 37 23 4 10 61:37 73
3 Los Barrios 37 20 7 10 58:39 67
4 CD Alcala 37 18 12 7 47:30 66
5 Sevilla C 37 19 8 10 68:48 65
6 Coria C.F. 37 20 4 13 56:51 64
7 Puerto Real CF 37 18 8 11 56:35 62
8 Mairena 37 14 12 11 49:40 54
9 Ayamonte 37 14 9 14 51:54 51
10 Pozoblanco 37 11 13 13 47:46 46
11 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 37 11 12 14 41:39 45
12 AD Cartaya 37 11 11 15 44:55 44
13 Cadiz B 37 11 11 15 38:49 44
14 UD Los Palacios 37 11 10 16 48:61 43
15 Dos Hermanas 37 9 16 12 32:46 43
16 Sanluqueno 37 9 11 17 29:49 38
17 Cordoba B 37 7 9 21 45:69 30
18 Chiclana 37 6 10 21 47:69 28
19 CD Villanueva 19 7 5 7 26:20 26
20 Antoniano 37 5 10 22 29:61 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)