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Ayamonte vs Mairena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
Sun, Feb 9, 2014
0 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayamonte host Mairena in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014. This one's hard to separate. Mairena have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Ayamonte have conceded 1.37 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Mairena slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2014, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.92 - 1.38) back Mairena to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ayamonte
20%
Draws
42%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mairena lately — more wins on the board than Ayamonte.
  • Ayamonte are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 17%
Mairena Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte Mairena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Mairena
0:2
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Ayamonte
3:2
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Ayamonte
3:0
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Mairena
0:0
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Ayamonte
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 36 / 100
Mairena 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayamonte scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Mairena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ayamonte remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayamonte VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
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Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)