Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayamonte vs Montilla Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Ayamonte Logo

Ayamonte

3 - 2
FT
Montilla Logo

Montilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ayamonte in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ayamonte
20%
Draws
22%
Montilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayamonte have won more games recently than Montilla.
  • Ayamonte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 18%
Montilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayamonte Montilla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Montilla
3:2
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs Ayamonte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayamonte 85 / 100
Montilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayamonte Montilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montilla has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Ayamonte found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ayamonte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayamonte VS Montilla
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayamonte

(Home)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

Montilla

(Away)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)