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Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Guti A.
24' Event
Louka P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Ayia Napa and Nea Salamis finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nea Salamis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ayia Napa
17%
Draws
70%
Nea Salamis
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Nea Salamis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nea Salamis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nea Salamis's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nea Salamis here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 10%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayia Napa Nea Salamis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 24
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis
0:2
Oct 30, 2021 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayia Napa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nea Salamis Compare

Top Goalscorer Guti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Louka P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayia Napa 14 / 100
Nea Salamis 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayia Napa Nea Salamis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ayia Napa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayia Napa scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Nea Salamis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayia Napa VS Nea Salamis
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nea Salamis15132027:541
2PAEEK1585223:829
3Doxa1583421:1227
4Omonia 29th May1575330:1526
5Ayia Napa1575320:1526
6Karmiotissa1583425:1524
7ASIL Lysi1565414:1323
8M.E.A.P. Nisou1563618:2721
9Digenis Akritas1562723:1820
10Apea Akrotiriou1553719:2318
11Halkanoras1552823:2617
12Kitiou1537515:2016
13Iraklis Yerolakkou1527611:1913
14Ethnikos Latsion1533911:2812
15AEZ Zakakiou1524911:2310
16Achyronas-Onisilos1511136:304