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Ayia Napa vs Olympias Lympion

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayia Napa play Olympias Lympion in the Division 2 2022/2023. Ayia Napa are favorites here. Recently, Ayia Napa averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.49 conceded. Olympias Lympion averaged 0.79 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Ayia Napa won 4, Olympias Lympion won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ayia Napa and 1.00 for Olympias Lympion. This points to a Ayia Napa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Ayia Napa
22%
Draws
12%
Olympias Lympion
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ayia Napa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayia Napa picked up more points recently compared to Olympias Lympion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 23%
Olympias Lympion Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayia Napa Olympias Lympion
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.43 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.49 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Olympias Lympion
2:0
Jan 22, 2023 Division 2
Olympias Lympion vs Ayia Napa
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Olympias Lympion
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Olympias Lympion
1:0
Nov 28, 2021 Division 2
Olympias Lympion vs Ayia Napa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayia Napa Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgiou I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konstantinou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Olympias Lympion Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayia Napa 64 / 100
Olympias Lympion 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayia Napa Olympias Lympion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayia Napa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ayia Napa & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayia Napa attacking → ← attacking Olympias Lympion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayia Napa scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Olympias Lympion let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Ayia Napa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olympias Lympion lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 11
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00