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Club Friendly 2024

Milton Keynes Dons

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aylesbury United play Milton Keynes Dons in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aylesbury United averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Milton Keynes Dons averaged 1.76 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Aylesbury United won 1, Milton Keynes Dons won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 28, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Aylesbury United and 1.68 for Milton Keynes Dons. This points to a Milton Keynes Dons double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Aylesbury United

24%

Draws

49%

Milton Keynes Dons

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Milton Keynes Dons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Aylesbury United picked up more points recently compared to Milton Keynes Dons.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Aylesbury United Clean Sheet 13%

Milton Keynes Dons Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aylesbury United	Milton Keynes Dons
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	15
Draws	5	9
Losses	19	5
Goals Scored	1.47	1.76
Goals Conceded	2.07	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly

Aylesbury United vs Milton Keynes Dons

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aylesbury United Compare

Top Goalscorer Stallard B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hashii M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Milton Keynes Dons Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh-Hurditt D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury United 27 / 100

Milton Keynes Dons 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aylesbury United Milton Keynes Dons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Milton Keynes Dons or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aylesbury United attacking → ← attacking Milton Keynes Dons

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aylesbury United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Milton Keynes Dons let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aylesbury United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Milton Keynes Dons lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88