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Aylesbury Vale vs Aylesbury United

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Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Jul 13, 2024
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aylesbury Vale host Aylesbury United in the Club Friendly 2024. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aylesbury Vale at 0.57 goals for, 2.43 against; Aylesbury United at 0.75 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Aylesbury Vale slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.16 - 1.59) back Aylesbury Vale to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aylesbury Vale
33%
Draws
40%
Aylesbury United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aylesbury United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aylesbury United have won more games recently than Aylesbury Vale.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aylesbury United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 14%
Aylesbury United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aylesbury Vale Aylesbury United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.57 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.43 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Aylesbury Vale vs Aylesbury United
0:0
Aug 30, 2014 FA Cup
Aylesbury United vs Aylesbury Vale
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 27 / 100
Aylesbury United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aylesbury Vale Aylesbury United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aylesbury United has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Aylesbury Vale scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Aylesbury United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury Vale VS Aylesbury United
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%