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Ayr vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Hislop J.
72' Event
Lyon R.
89' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ayr
15%
Draws
61%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayr lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • Model gives Airdrieonians a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ayr Clean Sheet 19%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Airdrieonians
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Hislop J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayr scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Airdrieonians conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Airdrieonians
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
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