Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Airdrieonians

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Hislop J.
72' Event
Lyon R.
89' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ayr
30%
Draws
23%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayr lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • Model gives Ayr a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Airdrieonians
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ayr
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Airdrieonians
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Hislop J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 85 / 100
Airdrieonians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ayr found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Airdrieonians
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3
Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 1
East Kilbride
01 Aug
Cove Rangers
0 : 0
Airdrieonians
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
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