Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2022/2023 Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr

1 - 0

Pollok

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Lyon J.

51'

Dempsey B.

Assist: Houston J.

61'

Sub

Burns S. In: Duff C.

Out: Burns S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ayr advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ayr

20%

Draws

45%

Pollok

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pollok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Ayr carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Ayr have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Ayr Clean Sheet 17%

Pollok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ayr	Pollok
Matches Played	29	23
Wins	12	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.38	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.35
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2022 Scottish Cup

Ayr vs Pollok

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Dempsey B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Pollok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 31 / 100

Pollok 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ayr Pollok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pollok Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayr scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pollok let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Pollok

2.13 Goals Scored 2.25

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)

14 Aug

Kilmarnock

3 : 2

Ayr

08 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 1

Ayr

01 Aug

Ayr

2 : 0

Arbroath

25 Jul

Ayr

4 : 1

Alloa

18 Jul

Ayr

2 : 0

Edinburgh City

Page 1 of 6

Pollok

(Away)

08 Aug

Newton Stewart

2 : 2

Pollok

01 Aug

Dalbeattie Star

0 : 2

Pollok

29 Jul

Renfrew

1 : 4

Pollok

25 Jul

Pollok

2 : 0

Troon FC

18 Jul

Pollok

2 : 1

East Stirlingshire

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Kilwinning Rangers 4

Tranent FC 2

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

Linlithgow Rose 2

Berwick 1

Clydebank FC 1

Spartans 3

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

Sauchie 4

TBD -

Bonnyrigg Rose -

Raith -

TBD -

Cowdenbeath 0

Boness United 1

Syngenta 2

Auchinleck Talbot 4

Civil Service Strollers 1

Fraserburgh 2

TBD -

Stranraer -

TBD -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton -

TBD -

Deveronvale 2

East Kilbride 4

Caledonian Braves 6

Newton Stewart 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Montrose -

TBD -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Dalbeattie Star 1

Darvel FC 8

Tynecastle 0

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Lossiemouth 1

Buckie Thistle 2

Broomhill 3

Brora Rangers 2

TBD -

Alloa -

Wick Academy 5

Lochee United 1

Benburb 4

Dundonald Bluebell 2

TBD -

Falkirk -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Dunipace 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Banks O' Dee 0

Turriff United 3

Ayr -

TBD -

Pollok 6

Huntly 0

TBD -

Annan -

Musselburgh 1

Newtongrange Star 2

Hill Of Beath 3

Inverurie Loco Works 1

Elgin City -

TBD -

Strathspey Thistle 0

Camelon Juniors 5

Gretna 2008 3

Edinburgh University 1

Nairn County 1

Drumchapel United 3

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Carnoustie Panmure 3

Rothes 1

Formartine Utd 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

East Fife -

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Jeanfield Swifts 1

Brechin 5

TBD -

Stirling -

Peterhead -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Forres Mechanics 2

Glasgow University 3

TBD -

Albion Rovers -

Dunbar United 3

Clachnacuddin 2

Stirling University 3

Hutchison Vale 0

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Keith 1

Cumnock Juniors 2

TBD -

Dumbarton -

1/64-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Forfar Athletic 3

Linlithgow Rose 4

Spartans 0

Sauchie 3

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Raith -

TBD -

Boness United 1

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Fraserburgh 2

Stranraer 1

TBD -

Arbroath -

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton -

TBD -

East Kilbride 5

Caledonian Braves 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Montrose -

TBD -

Dalbeattie Star 1

Darvel FC 7

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Buckie Thistle 1

Broomhill 3

TBD -

Alloa -

Wick Academy 2

Benburb 0

TBD -

Falkirk -

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Dunipace 5

Turriff United 2

Ayr -

TBD -

Pollok 4

Annan 3

Newtongrange Star 0

Hill Of Beath 1

Elgin City 4

Camelon Juniors 0

Gretna 2008 1

Drumchapel United 4

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

Carnoustie Panmure 1

Formartine Utd 2

Stenhousemuir 2

East Fife 1

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness -

TBD -

Brechin 2

Stirling 3

Peterhead -

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Glasgow University 1

Albion Rovers 4

Dunbar United 1

Stirling University 3

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Cumnock Juniors 1

Dumbarton 3

1/32-finals

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Rangers -

Partick 3

Kelty Hearts 0

Dunfermline 4

Forfar Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 1

Sauchie 0

Raith 3

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Fraserburgh 0

Arbroath 2

TBD -

Motherwell -

Hamilton 4

East Kilbride 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Hearts -

Celtic -

TBD -

Morton 4

Queen of the South 1

St. Mirren -

TBD -

Dundee FC 6

Airdrieonians 2

Montrose 2

Darvel FC 5

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Broomhill 1

Alloa 2

Wick Academy 0

Falkirk 6

Cove Rangers 7

Dunipace 0

Ayr 1

Pollok 0

Hill Of Beath 1

Elgin City 2

Drumchapel United 1

Edinburgh City 0

Formartine Utd 1

Stenhousemuir 3

TBD -

Livingston -

Inverness 3

Stirling 2

Peterhead 0

Queen's Park 3

Dundee Utd -

TBD -

Albion Rovers 0

Stirling University 1

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Clyde 1

Dumbarton 3

1/16-finals

St Johnstone 0

Rangers 1

Partick 2

Dunfermline 1

Linlithgow Rose 0

Raith 2

Arbroath 0

Motherwell 2

Hamilton 1

Ross County 0

Hibernian 0

Hearts 3

Celtic 5

Morton 0

St. Mirren 1

Dundee FC 0

Darvel FC 1

Aberdeen 0

Alloa 1

Falkirk 2

Cove Rangers 0

Ayr 3

Elgin City 2

Drumchapel United 1

Stenhousemuir 1

Livingston 3

Inverness -

Queen's Park -

Dundee Utd 3

Stirling University 0

Kilmarnock 1

Dumbarton 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 3

Partick 2

Raith 3

Motherwell 1

Hamilton 0

Hearts 2

Celtic 5

St. Mirren 1

Darvel FC 1

Falkirk 5

Ayr 4

Elgin City 1

Livingston 0

Inverness 3

Dundee Utd 0

Kilmarnock 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 3

Raith 0

Hearts 0

Celtic 3

Falkirk 2

Ayr 1

Inverness 2

Kilmarnock 1

Semi-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

Falkirk 0

Inverness 3

Final

Celtic 3

Inverness 1

Ayr vs Pollok

Scotland

Ayr

Pollok

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ayr Compare

Pollok Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

Pollok

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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