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Ayr vs Queen's Park - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Somerset Park, Ayr
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayr host Queen's Park in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Queen's Park have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Ayr have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Ayr have won 1 to Queen's Park's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ayr. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ayr
15%
Draws
26%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayr's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what Queen's Park have produced (1.13).
  • Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Queen's Park
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Queen's Park
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Queen's Park vs Ayr
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Queen's Park
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 76 / 100
Queen's Park 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Queen's Park has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ayr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Queen's Park
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
10 Oct
Ayr
1 : 1
Dunfermline
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

Queen's Park

(Away)
13 Oct
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Inverness
10 Oct
Raith
2 : 0
Queen's Park
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 9 7 1 1 12:4 22
2 Raith 10 6 2 2 15:6 20
3 Partick 9 5 3 1 10:3 18
4 Livingston 10 4 1 5 14:11 13
5 Dunfermline 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
6 Inverness 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
7 Ayr 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
8 Arbroath 10 3 2 5 7:15 11
9 Queen's Park 10 2 1 7 6:16 7
10 Morton 10 1 1 8 7:18 4
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)