Sport Picks
Ayutthaya United vs Muang Thong Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai FA Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Thai FA Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ayutthaya United have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Muang Thong Utd's 1.17 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor Ayutthaya United slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.44, favoring Ayutthaya United. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ayutthaya United come out ahead of Muang Thong Utd on wins alone.
- Model gives Ayutthaya United a 36% chance of winning this.
- Ayutthaya United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayutthaya United | Muang Thong Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ayutthaya United scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.
Muang Thong Utd let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Ayutthaya United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
