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Ayutthaya United vs Port MTI FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
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Match Events

7' Event
Kaka Mendes
Assist: Poeiphimai T.
35'
Worasut N.
38'
Chamratsamee P.

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ayutthaya United
6%
Draws
90%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Port MTI FC lately — more wins on the board than Ayutthaya United.
  • Model gives Port MTI FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Port MTI FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Port MTI FC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Port MTI FC
1:4
Jan 28, 2026 League Cup
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
3:1
Nov 30, 2022 Thai FA Cup
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Islame Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaka Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Tocantins
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Port MTI FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Ayutthaya United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Port MTI FC let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Port MTI FC
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
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Port MTI FC

(Away)
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0
Pathum United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)