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Ayutthaya United vs Prachuap

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
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Match Events

39' Event
Laptrakul C.
Assist: Baek Sung-Dong
45'
Kamkla B.
46'
Sub
Jantum P. In: Jensen P.
Out: Jantum P.

AI Match Summary

Prachuap in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prachuap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ayutthaya United
15%
Draws
85%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prachuap lately — more wins on the board than Ayutthaya United.
  • Model gives Prachuap a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Prachuap here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 13%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Prachuap
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Prachuap
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Ayutthaya United
4:4
Jan 25, 2023 League Cup
Ayutthaya United vs Prachuap
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Laptrakul C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilar B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Prachuap 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prachuap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Ayutthaya United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Prachuap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Prachuap's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Prachuap
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6

Prachuap

(Away)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)