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Ayutthaya United vs Ranong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
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Match Events

42' Event
Nilson

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2022/2023 game between Ayutthaya United and Ranong finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayutthaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ayutthaya United
15%
Draws
12%
Ranong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayutthaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayutthaya United come out ahead of Ranong on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ayutthaya United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 68%
Ranong Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Ranong
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Ranong
1:0
Oct 14, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Ayutthaya United
1:2
Apr 24, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Ayutthaya United
1:1
Dec 5, 2021 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Ranong
1:0
Mar 24, 2021 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Ayutthaya United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ranong Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 86 / 100
Ranong 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Ranong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayutthaya United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ranong has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ayutthaya United scored in 73% of their last 40 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ranong's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 8

Ranong

(Away)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
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