Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Eskisehirspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 Husnu Ugural Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu play Eskisehirspor in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ayvalikgucu averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Eskisehirspor averaged 2.37 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Ayvalikgucu won 2, Eskisehirspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Ayvalikgucu and 1.63 for Eskisehirspor. This points to a Ayvalikgucu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ayvalikgucu
20%
Draws
39%
Eskisehirspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu picked up more points recently compared to Eskisehirspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 14%
Eskisehirspor Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Eskisehirspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.93 2.37
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Eskisehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu
0:0
May 4, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Eskisehirspor
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Eskisehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Eskisehirspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisacik B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Eskisehirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 40 / 100
Eskisehirspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Eskisehirspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ayvalikgucu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayvalikgucu attacking → ← attacking Eskisehirspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Eskisehirspor let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ayvalikgucu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Eskisehirspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 66
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38