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Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Izmir Coruhlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kozhan F.
Assist: Turgut M.
16' Event
Dogan Y.
19' Event
Dogan Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Ayvalikgucu and Izmir Coruhlu finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ayvalikgucu
6%
Draws
4%
Izmir Coruhlu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Izmir Coruhlu on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ayvalikgucu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ayvalikgucu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Izmir Coruhlu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Izmir Coruhlu
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Izmir Coruhlu
9:1
Dec 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Izmir Coruhlu vs Ayvalikgucu
1:2
Mar 17, 2015 3. Lig Group 3
Izmir Coruhlu vs Ayvalikgucu
0:0
Oct 26, 2014 3. Lig Group 3
Ayvalikgucu vs Izmir Coruhlu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogan Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kozhan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Izmir Coruhlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 85 / 100
Izmir Coruhlu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Izmir Coruhlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Izmir Coruhlu conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ayvalikgucu scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Ayvalikgucu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Izmir Coruhlu
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0
Eskisehirspor
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 7

Izmir Coruhlu

(Away)
18 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
9 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)