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Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu host Karsiyaka in the 3. Lig Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Karsiyaka have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Ayvalikgucu have conceded 0.83 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Ayvalikgucu have won 1 to Karsiyaka's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.81) point toward Ayvalikgucu. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ayvalikgucu
30%
Draws
31%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
May 9, 1992 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 36 / 100
Karsiyaka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karsiyaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ayvalikgucu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Karsiyaka
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
07 Oct
Soke 1970
1 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
03 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 1
Soke 1970
26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Karsiyaka

(Away)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)