Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Tarsus

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cildir O.
57' Event
Yildirim T.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Pekgoz R.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 game between Ayvalikgucu and Tarsus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Ayvalikgucu
30%
Draws
8%
Tarsus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Tarsus haven't matched Ayvalikgucu's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Ayvalikgucu taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Tarsus
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 1.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Tarsus
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Tarsus vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Pekgoz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Tarsus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cildir O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 85 / 100
Tarsus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Tarsus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarsus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ayvalikgucu scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ayvalikgucu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0
Eskisehirspor
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 7

Tarsus

(Away)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)