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AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Ajax U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 host Ajax U19 in the Divisie 1 U19. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: AZ Alkmaar U19 at 2.43 goals for, 1.33 against; Ajax U19 at 2.55 for, 2.07 against. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.56) back AZ Alkmaar U19 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AZ Alkmaar U19
15%
Draws
45%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax U19 haven't matched AZ Alkmaar U19's recent run of results.
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.43 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:1
May 6, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Ajax U19
4:3
Oct 25, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Ajax U19
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 39 / 100
Ajax U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar U19 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ajax U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar U19 VS Ajax U19
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Home)
10 Oct
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 0
Feyenoord U19
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
Page 1 of 6

Ajax U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Zwolle U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Nijmegen U19 5 4 0 1 21:15 12
3 AZ Alkmaar U19 6 3 1 2 7:3 10
4 Feyenoord U19 5 2 1 2 17:12 7
5 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
6 De Graafschap U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
7 Zwolle U19 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)