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AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Manchester United U19

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UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 AFAS Trainingscomplex
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AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 play Manchester United U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, AZ Alkmaar U19 averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Manchester United U19 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, AZ Alkmaar U19 won 1, Manchester United U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 10, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for AZ Alkmaar U19 and 1.25 for Manchester United U19. This points to a AZ Alkmaar U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AZ Alkmaar U19
15%
Draws
35%
Manchester United U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 picked up more points recently compared to Manchester United U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Manchester United U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Manchester United U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.69 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Manchester United U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
0:0
Nov 26, 2024 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Manchester United U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Ban Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boogaard K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Manchester United U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 49 / 100
Manchester United U19 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Manchester United U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AZ Alkmaar U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AZ Alkmaar U19 attacking → ← attacking Manchester United U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar U19 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Manchester United U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

AZ Alkmaar U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Manchester United U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 49
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00