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AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Vitesse U19

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie U19 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 play Vitesse U19 in the Eredivisie U19 2018/2019. AZ Alkmaar U19 are favorites here. Recently, AZ Alkmaar U19 averaged 2.84 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Vitesse U19 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, AZ Alkmaar U19 won 4, Vitesse U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for AZ Alkmaar U19 and 1.25 for Vitesse U19. This points to a AZ Alkmaar U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
AZ Alkmaar U19
15%
Draws
22%
Vitesse U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 picked up more points recently compared to Vitesse U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Vitesse U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Vitesse U19
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 22 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.84 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Divisie 1 U19
Vitesse U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Vitesse U19
4:1
Nov 26, 2019 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Vitesse U19
5:0
May 22, 2019 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Vitesse U19
4:0
Feb 16, 2019 Divisie 1 U19
Vitesse U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 61 / 100
Vitesse U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Vitesse U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AZ Alkmaar U19 attacking → ← attacking Vitesse U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar U19 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Vitesse U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

AZ Alkmaar U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitesse U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 18
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00