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AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Logo

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0
FT
Den Haag Logo

Den Haag

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Dijkstra E.
57'
Sub
Hawkins J. In: de Ruijter I.
Out: Hawkins J.
57'
Sub
de Bruin F. In: Jimenez M.
Out: de Bruin F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AZ Alkmaar
30%
Draws
12%
Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Den Haag have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 20%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.26 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
2:0
Jan 16, 2021 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
2:1
Oct 25, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
2:2
Aug 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Mar 7, 2020 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daal R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stengs C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Den Haag Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 58 / 100
Den Haag 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Den Haag conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Den Haag
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
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Den Haag

(Away)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)