Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar host Den Haag in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AZ Alkmaar have averaged 2 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Den Haag's 3.71 scored and 0.71 conceded. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2021, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 2.54) point toward Den Haag. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AZ Alkmaar
6%
Draws
90%
Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Den Haag have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Den Haag taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 3.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2021 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
2:1
Oct 25, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
2:2
Aug 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Mar 7, 2020 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Den Haag
4:0
Sep 22, 2019 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 10 / 100
Den Haag 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Den Haag let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Den Haag
2 Goals Scored 3.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

Den Haag

(Away)
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4
Den Haag
18 Jul
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Den Haag
07 Jul
Westlands Elftal
0 : 6
Den Haag
04 Jul
Laakkwartier
1 : 5
Den Haag
24 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 3
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)