Sport Picks
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar 
AI Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar host Groningen in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: AZ Alkmaar at 1.97 goals for, 1.26 against; Groningen at 1.75 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, AZ Alkmaar have won 3 to Groningen's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.75) back AZ Alkmaar to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Groningen haven't matched AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AZ Alkmaar scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.
Groningen let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AZ Alkmaar
(Home)Groningen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | 24 |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | 21 |
| 3 | PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | 9 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | 6 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | 2 |
