Sport Picks
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar 
Match Events
11'
11'
Meerdink M.
Assist: Jensen I.
15'
15'
Mijnans S.
Assist: Kasius D.
45'
45'
Marquez I.
AI Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than Sittard.
- Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 18%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
4:3
Feb 23, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Sittard
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mijnans S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Sittard Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AZ Alkmaar 85 / 100
Sittard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AZ Alkmaar Sittard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Sittard has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
AZ Alkmaar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AZ Alkmaar VS Sittard
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Den Haag
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 4
Sittard
(Away) 19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3 Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3 Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1 Sittard
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3 Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3 Sittard
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2 Sittard
25 Jul
Metz
3 : 1 Sittard
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
