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AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bol F.
Assist: Vonk B.
26'
van Beijeren J.
46'
Sub
Eloualidi A. In: de Vries E.
Out: Eloualidi A.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between AZ Alkmaar W and Den Haag W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
37%
Den Haag W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AZ Alkmaar W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 16%
Den Haag W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Den Haag W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs AZ Alkmaar W
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Den Haag W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:5
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lunteren D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Den Haag W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bol F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 57 / 100
Den Haag W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Den Haag W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AZ Alkmaar W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Den Haag W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AZ Alkmaar W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Den Haag W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 7

Den Haag W

(Away)
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
23 Aug
Den Haag W
1 : 7
Twente W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)