Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
van Lunteren D.
Assist: van Beijeren J.
46'
Sub
Bosmans P. In: Boerboom V.
Out: Bosmans P.
46'
Sub
Boukakar R. In: Dupon Q.
Out: Boukakar R.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
46%
Den Haag W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Den Haag W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar W lately — more wins on the board than Den Haag W.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 16%
Den Haag W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Den Haag W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs AZ Alkmaar W
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Den Haag W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:5
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Den Haag W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lunteren D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Beijeren J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Den Haag W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bol F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 57 / 100
Den Haag W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Den Haag W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Den Haag W let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

AZ Alkmaar W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Den Haag W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 6

Den Haag W

(Away)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)