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Azam vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Azam host Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Azam at 1.63 goals for, 0.6 against; Mashujaa at 0.67 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Azam slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.88, favoring Azam. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Azam
15%
Draws
40%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Mashujaa.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Azam Clean Sheet 20%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Mashujaa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 85 / 100
Mashujaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Mashujaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Azam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Mashujaa
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
09 Oct
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
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Mashujaa

(Away)
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1
Mashujaa
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
5 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)