Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Pamba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Nakibinge J.
56'
Eshihanda B.
58'
Kunambi K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Azam and Pamba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Azam
15%
Draws
0%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Azam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Pamba
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
2:1
May 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
2:0
Mar 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Azam
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Azam
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitambala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Pamba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Azam scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Pamba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Pamba

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)