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Azam vs Polisi Tanzania

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dube P.
15' Event
Dube P.
20' Event
Zunon K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Azam and Polisi Tanzania finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Azam
15%
Draws
40%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azam a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Azam
1:1
Jun 9, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Polisi Tanzania
8:0
Dec 5, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Azam
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Polisi Tanzania
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Azam
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Dube P.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Nado I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 50 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Polisi Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Polisi Tanzania has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Azam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Polisi Tanzania
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
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Polisi Tanzania

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)