Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U17 vs Montenegro U17

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kerimov O.
24' Event
Gasymov A.
37' Event
Gasymov A.

AI Match Summary

Azerbaijan U17 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azerbaijan U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Azerbaijan U17
30%
Draws
35%
Montenegro U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montenegro U17 lately — more wins on the board than Azerbaijan U17.
  • Model gives Montenegro U17 a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Azerbaijan U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Montenegro U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U17 Montenegro U17
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.04 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2023 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U17 vs Montenegro U17
2:1
Aug 15, 2023 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U17 vs Montenegro U17
4:1
Oct 27, 2010 Euro U17
Montenegro U17 vs Azerbaijan U17
2:1
Sep 24, 2008 Euro U17
Azerbaijan U17 vs Montenegro U17
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gasymov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerimov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Montenegro U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pima A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U17 18 / 100
Montenegro U17 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U17 Montenegro U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U17 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Azerbaijan U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Montenegro U17 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U17 VS Montenegro U17
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U17

(Home)
30 Mar
Azerbaijan U17
2 : 2
Malta U17
27 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U17
24 Mar
Bulgaria U17
1 : 1
Azerbaijan U17
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U17
1 : 5
Romania U17
11 Oct
Israel U17
5 : 1
Azerbaijan U17
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Montenegro U17

(Away)
01 Jun
France U17
5 : 0
Montenegro U17
29 May
Montenegro U17
0 : 3
Italy U17
26 May
Montenegro U17
1 : 2
Denmark U17
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Montenegro U17
4 : 0
Norway U17
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