Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U21 vs Albania U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Shpendi C.
46' Event
Cafarov C.
51' Event
Pajaziti A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Azerbaijan U21 and Albania U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albania U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Azerbaijan U21
35%
Draws
32%
Albania U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albania U21 come out ahead of Azerbaijan U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Azerbaijan U21 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U21 Albania U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U21 vs Albania U21
1:2
Sep 4, 2010 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Albania U21
3:2
Sep 5, 2009 Euro U21
Albania U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
1:0
Sep 10, 2008 Euro U21
Albania U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
0:0
Oct 17, 2007 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Albania U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafarov C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Albania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pajaziti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 50 / 100
Albania U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U21 Albania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azerbaijan U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Albania U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Azerbaijan U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Azerbaijan U21 scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Albania U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Czech Republic U21
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
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Albania U21

(Away)
26 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 0
Albania U21
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
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