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Azerbaijan vs Hungary Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Liv Bona Dea Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Varga B.
Assist: Nego L.
7' Event
Dadashov R.
Assist: Dashdamirov R.
33' Event
Szoboszlai D.
Assist: Varga B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Azerbaijan and Hungary finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hungary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Azerbaijan
30%
Draws
31%
Hungary
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azerbaijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hungary come out ahead of Azerbaijan on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hungary here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Azerbaijan Clean Sheet 19%
Hungary Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan Hungary
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Azerbaijan vs Hungary
1:2
Oct 13, 2019 Euro
Hungary vs Azerbaijan
1:0
Jun 8, 2019 Euro
Azerbaijan vs Hungary
1:3
Feb 9, 2011 Friendly International
Azerbaijan vs Hungary
0:2
Sep 7, 1999 Euro
Hungary vs Azerbaijan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadashov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan 32 / 100
Hungary 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan Hungary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azerbaijan found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Hungary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Azerbaijan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan VS Hungary
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan

(Home)
27 Sept
Lithuania
1 : 1
Azerbaijan
23 Sept
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Tajikistan
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
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Hungary

(Away)
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Hungary
25 Sept
Hungary
0 : 1
Ukraine
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
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