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Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol

Japan Japan

YBC Levain Cup 2025 Ashitaka Park Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Azul Claro Numazu play Kashiwa Reysol in the YBC Levain Cup 2025. Kashiwa Reysol are favorites here. Recently, Azul Claro Numazu averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Kashiwa Reysol averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Azul Claro Numazu won 0, Kashiwa Reysol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.25 for Kashiwa Reysol. This points to a Kashiwa Reysol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Azul Claro Numazu
15%
Draws
62%
Kashiwa Reysol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Azul Claro Numazu picked up more points recently compared to Kashiwa Reysol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 19%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azul Claro Numazu Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 0
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 J.League Cup
Azul Claro Numazu vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azul Claro Numazu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakama H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azul Claro Numazu 25 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azul Claro Numazu Kashiwa Reysol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Kashiwa Reysol & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Azul Claro Numazu attacking → ← attacking Kashiwa Reysol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azul Claro Numazu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kashiwa Reysol let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Azul Claro Numazu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kashiwa Reysol lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 48
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00