Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azuqueca vs UD Carrion

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 game between Azuqueca and UD Carrion finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azuqueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Azuqueca
6%
Draws
4%
UD Carrion
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Azuqueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Azuqueca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azuqueca a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 20%
UD Carrion Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azuqueca UD Carrion
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs UD Carrion
5:0
Sep 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Carrion vs Azuqueca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuqueca 85 / 100
UD Carrion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azuqueca UD Carrion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carrion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Azuqueca's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Azuqueca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azuqueca VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azuqueca

(Home)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 9

UD Carrion

(Away)
01 Aug
Manchego Ciudad Real
1 : 0
UD Carrion
13 May
Tomelloso
5 : 1
UD Carrion
07 May
UD Carrion
3 : 1
CD Yuncos
29 Apr
Albacete B
2 : 1
UD Carrion
23 Apr
CD Pedroneras
2 : 0
UD Carrion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Talavera38258589:3783
2Conquense38236974:4375
3Villarrobledo381913675:4270
4Guadalajara382171064:4370
5Villarrubia382071161:3867
6UD Almansa381891168:5463
7Manchego Ciudad Real3817111053:4062
8Quintanar del Rey3813131261:5252
9Azuqueca381571667:5752
10Madridejos381491543:5351
11Marchamalo381481643:4950
12Almagro3813101544:5249
13Tomelloso381461846:5348
14Mora CF381371846:6646
15Albacete B3811121549:5645
16CD Pedroneras3810151346:4545
17Toledo 2381281847:6144
18Illescas381232356:8239
19UD Carrion38682437:9026
20CD Yuncos38372824:8016
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)