Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azuriz vs Athletico-PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estadio Os Pioneiros, Pato Branco
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ary Garcia
22' Event
Bruno Braga
45'
Diogo Riquelme

AI Match Summary

Azuriz in this Paranaense matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azuriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Azuriz
35%
Draws
35%
Athletico-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Athletico-PR have won more games recently than Azuriz.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paranaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Azuriz Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azuriz Athletico-PR
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.55 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Athletico-PR
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Azuriz
3:0
Feb 21, 2025 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Athletico-PR
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Athletico-PR
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azuriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Maranhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nayssinho M. V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Braga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuriz 41 / 100
Athletico-PR 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azuriz Athletico-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Azuriz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Azuriz scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Azuriz VS Athletico-PR
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azuriz

(Home)
19 Sept
Athletico-PR B
1 : 0
Azuriz
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
30 Aug
Sao Joseense
1 : 0
Azuriz
07 Jun
Azuriz
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
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Athletico-PR

(Away)
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
15 Aug
Athletico-PR
1 : 1
Bragantino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Londrina 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Foz do Iguacu 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Athletico-PR 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
4 Sao Joseense 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
5 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
6 FC Cascavel 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azuriz 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
2 Coritiba 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Cianorte 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
4 Operario-PR 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
5 Clube Andraus Brasil 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
6 Galo Maringa 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)