Sport Picks

Brazil

Paranaense Estadio Os Pioneiros

Azuriz

1 - 0

Sao Joseense

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Sub

Batista Ferraz G. In: Joao Felipe

Out: Batista Ferraz G.

46'

Sub

Hugo J. In: Victor Yan

Out: Hugo J.

49'

Nayssinho M. V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense game between Azuriz and Sao Joseense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azuriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Azuriz

33%

Draws

27%

Sao Joseense

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Azuriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sao Joseense come out ahead of Azuriz on wins alone.
Azuriz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Paranaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Azuriz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 15%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Azuriz Clean Sheet 68%

Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Azuriz	Sao Joseense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	9	9
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.63	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Serie D

Sao Joseense vs Azuriz

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D

Azuriz vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Jan 24, 2026 Paranaense

Azuriz vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 48% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jan 29, 2025 Paranaense

Azuriz vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 14, 2024 Paranaense

Azuriz vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azuriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nayssinho M. V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sao Joseense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuriz 50 / 100

Sao Joseense 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Azuriz Sao Joseense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Joseense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Azuriz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Azuriz found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Azuriz VS Sao Joseense

0.63 Goals Scored 0.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38

38% Over 1.5 13%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Londrina	6	4	2	0	14:3	14
2	Foz do Iguacu	6	3	2	1	11:10	11
3	Athletico-PR	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
4	Sao Joseense	6	3	1	2	4:3	10
5	Maringa FC	6	2	2	2	9:7	8
6	FC Cascavel	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azuriz	6	3	2	1	5:4	11
2	Coritiba	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Cianorte	6	1	4	1	8:8	7
4	Operario-PR	6	1	2	3	4:8	5
5	Clube Andraus Brasil	6	1	1	4	6:13	4
6	Galo Maringa	6	1	0	5	5:13	3