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B. Gdynia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Drame J.
54' Event
Bartkowiak B.
75' Event
Skrzecz O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 game between B. Gdynia and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
B. Gdynia
30%
Draws
34%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: B. Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • B. Gdynia haven't matched Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's recent run of results.
  • B. Gdynia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Polonia Sroda Wielkopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
B. Gdynia Clean Sheet 14%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Gdynia Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 III Liga - Group II
B. Gdynia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:4
Sep 16, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs B. Gdynia
4:1
Apr 30, 2022 III Liga - Group II
B. Gdynia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4:0
Sep 25, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs B. Gdynia
3:2
May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs B. Gdynia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrzecz O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozym J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Drame J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartkowiak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Gdynia 35 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Gdynia Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: B. Gdynia scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: B. Gdynia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00